MaceMedia VOID Autumn Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chinggis Warriors#65 in the world · win 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NEXVOID#77 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNEXVOID pick
60%68%
Chinggis Warriors · 16 mapsedge NEXVOID +8%NEXVOID · 30 maps
AncientChinggis Warriors ban
58%71%
Chinggis Warriors · 15 mapsedge NEXVOID +13%NEXVOID · 27 maps
NukeChinggis Warriors pick
58%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 22 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +8%NEXVOID · 14 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%43%
Chinggis Warriors · 14 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +7%NEXVOID · 17 maps
CacheNEXVOID ban
50%30%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +20%NEXVOID · 6 maps
AnubisChinggis Warriors ban
29%57%
Chinggis Warriors · 3 mapsedge NEXVOID +28%NEXVOID · 3 maps
MirageNEXVOID ban
60%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 6 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +10%NEXVOID · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Anubis
2. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Nuke
4. PickNEXVOID take Inferno
5. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
6. BanChinggis Warriors remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:1
Chinggis Warriors 39%NEXVOID 61%
The model gave 61% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Cacheprediction missed10:13
Chinggis Warriors 72%NEXVOID 28%
The model gave 72% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Chinggis Warriors 57%NEXVOID 43%
The model gave 57% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Model check result
Model favoriteChinggis Warriors · 52%
Series resultChinggis Warriors 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3