MaceMedia VOID Autumn Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chinggis Warriors#65 in the world · win 2:1series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:1
WXM#344 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeChinggis Warriors pick
60%40%
Chinggis Warriors · 21 mapedge Chinggis Warriors +20%WXM · 1 map
InfernoWXM ban
60%40%
Chinggis Warriors · 16 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +20%WXM · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
56%33%
Chinggis Warriors · 14 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +23%WXM · 2 maps
Dust2WXM pick
47%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 13 mapsnearly even -3%WXM · 2 maps
MirageChinggis Warriors ban
60%57%
Chinggis Warriors · 6 mapsnearly even +3%WXM · 3 maps
AnubisChinggis Warriors ban
29%60%
Chinggis Warriors · 3 mapsedge WXM +31%WXM · 1 map
CacheWXM ban
50%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsnearly even +0%WXM · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Anubis
2. BanWXM remove Cache
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Nuke
4. PickWXM take Dust2
5. BanWXM remove Inferno
6. BanChinggis Warriors remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (56% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
Chinggis Warriors 69%WXM 31%
The model gave 69% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Chinggis Warriors 72%WXM 28%
The model gave 72% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by WXM.
Dust2prediction missed13:1
Chinggis Warriors 47%WXM 53%
The model gave 53% on WXM — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Model check result
Model favoriteChinggis Warriors · 82%
Series resultChinggis Warriors 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3