HopLan 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Dhalaloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
Citronnade 47%Dhala 53%
The model gave 53% on Dhala — the map was taken by Dhala.
Cacheprediction correct19:16
Citronnade 53%Dhala 47%
The model gave 53% on Citronnade — the map was taken by Citronnade.
Infernoprediction correct19:17
Citronnade 50%Dhala 50%
The model gave 50% on Citronnade — the map was taken by Citronnade.
Model check result
Model favoriteCitronnade · 50%
Series resultCitronnade 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3