CROSSFIRE Season 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
mouse#236 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
ClayMakers 47%mouse 53%
The model gave 53% on mouse — the map was taken by mouse.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
ClayMakers 53%mouse 47%
The model gave 53% on ClayMakers — the map was taken by ClayMakers.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
ClayMakers 50%mouse 50%
The model gave 50% on ClayMakers — the map was taken by ClayMakers.
Model check result
Model favoritemouse · 51%
Series resultClayMakers 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3