CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Clutchain fe#253 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Dripmen#231 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultDripmen pick
33%50%
Clutchain fe · 2 mapsedge Dripmen +17%Dripmen · 2 maps
InfernoClutchain fe ban
50%50%
Clutchain fe · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Dripmen · 2 maps
AncientDripmen ban
50%40%
Clutchain fe · 0 mapsedge Clutchain fe +10%Dripmen · 1 map
Dust2possible decider
50%40%
Clutchain fe · 0 mapsedge Clutchain fe +10%Dripmen · 1 map
MirageDripmen ban
40%50%
Clutchain fe · 1 mapedge Dripmen +10%Dripmen · 0 maps
NukeClutchain fe pick
40%50%
Clutchain fe · 1 mapedge Dripmen +10%Dripmen · 0 maps
OverpassClutchain fe ban
50%40%
Clutchain fe · 0 mapsedge Clutchain fe +10%Dripmen · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanClutchain fe remove Inferno
2. BanDripmen remove Mirage
3. PickClutchain fe take Nuke
4. PickDripmen take Default
5. BanDripmen remove Ancient
6. BanClutchain fe remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Clutchain fe 33%Dripmen 67%
The model gave 67% on Dripmen — the map was taken by Dripmen.
Model check result
Model favoriteDripmen · 52%
Series resultDripmen 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1