IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EAC#59 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
57%60%
Color · 3 mapsnearly even -3%EAC · 16 maps
MirageColor ban
43%60%
Color · 3 mapsedge EAC +17%EAC · 16 maps
AnubisColor pick
67%50%
Color · 2 mapsedge Color +17%EAC · 10 maps
CacheEAC pick
33%62%
Color · 2 mapsedge EAC +29%EAC · 9 maps
InfernoEAC ban
57%25%
Color · 3 mapsedge Color +32%EAC · 8 maps
NukeColor ban
50%46%
Color · 0 mapsnearly even +4%EAC · 9 maps
Dust2EAC ban
56%40%
Color · 5 mapsedge Color +16%EAC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanColor remove Nuke
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickColor take Anubis
4. PickEAC take Cache
5. BanEAC remove Inferno
6. BanColor remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
Color 44%EAC 56%
The model gave 56% on EAC — the map was taken by Color.
Anubisprediction missed14:16
Color 69%EAC 31%
The model gave 69% on Color — the map was taken by EAC.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Color 33%EAC 67%
The model gave 67% on EAC — the map was taken by Color.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 51%
Series resultColor 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3