CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Crashers#174 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultALZON pick
50%60%
Crashers · 2 mapsedge ALZON +10%ALZON · 1 map
InfernoCrashers ban
33%60%
Crashers · 2 mapsedge ALZON +27%ALZON · 1 map
AncientALZON ban
40%40%
Crashers · 1 mapnearly even +0%ALZON · 1 map
Dust2ALZON ban
50%50%
Crashers · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALZON · 0 maps
NukeCrashers pick
50%40%
Crashers · 0 mapsedge Crashers +10%ALZON · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCrashers remove Inferno
2. BanALZON remove Dust2
3. PickCrashers take Nuke
4. PickALZON take Default
5. BanALZON remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct9:13
Crashers 27%ALZON 73%
The model gave 73% on ALZON — the map was taken by ALZON.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
Crashers 57%ALZON 43%
The model gave 57% on Crashers — the map was taken by ALZON.
Model check result
Model favoriteCrashers · 59%
Series resultALZON 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2