?
CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Crashers#174 in the world · loss 0:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
Crashers · 2 mapsedge MIBR Academy +10%MIBR Academy · 1 map
Dust2MIBR Academy ban
50%40%
Crashers · 2 mapsedge Crashers +10%MIBR Academy · 1 map
InfernoCrashers pick
29%50%
Crashers · 3 mapsedge MIBR Academy +21%MIBR Academy · 0 maps
AncientMIBR Academy pick
40%60%
Crashers · 1 mapedge MIBR Academy +20%MIBR Academy · 1 map
NukeCrashers ban
40%60%
Crashers · 1 mapedge MIBR Academy +20%MIBR Academy · 1 map
OverpassCrashers ban
50%50%
Crashers · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
AnubisMIBR Academy ban
50%40%
Crashers · 0 mapsedge Crashers +10%MIBR Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCrashers remove Overpass
2. BanMIBR Academy remove Dust2
3. PickCrashers take Inferno
4. PickMIBR Academy take Ancient
5. BanMIBR Academy remove Anubis
6. BanCrashers remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Crashers 40%MIBR Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR Academy · 57%
Series resultMIBR Academy 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1