NODWIN Clutch Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · win 2:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
64%58%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 10 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +6%ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
40%58%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +18%ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
63%50%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 4 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
57%50%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 10 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +7%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
70%38%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 6 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +32%ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 maps
InfernoCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
44%56%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%63%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 2 mapsnearly even +4%ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Anubis
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
6. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (67% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct3:13
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 47%ex-Zero Tenacity 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Anubisprediction correct13:4
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 81%ex-Zero Tenacity 19%
The model gave 81% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 57%ex-Zero Tenacity 43%
The model gave 57% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 62%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE Prospects 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3