NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
55%55%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 7 mapsnearly even +0%Lavked · 36 maps
Dust2possible decider
63%38%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 15 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +25%Lavked · 22 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
43%57%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 10 mapsedge Lavked +14%Lavked · 19 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
67%73%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 11 mapsedge Lavked +6%Lavked · 11 maps
AnubisLavked ban
56%56%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Lavked · 12 maps
InfernoLavked ban
54%25%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 9 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +29%Lavked · 8 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
50%50%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Lavked · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Overpass
2. BanLavked remove Inferno
3. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Ancient
4. PickLavked take Mirage
5. BanLavked remove Anubis
6. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (63% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:4
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 46%Lavked 54%
The model gave 54% on Lavked — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 45%Lavked 55%
The model gave 55% on Lavked — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE Prospects · 59%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE Prospects 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2