WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:2
K27#44 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientCYBERSHOKE pick
50%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 16 mapsnearly even +0%K27 · 16 maps
NukeK27 ban
55%46%
CYBERSHOKE · 7 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +9%K27 · 20 maps
CacheCYBERSHOKE ban
63%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 4 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +13%K27 · 22 maps
MirageK27 pick
64%65%
CYBERSHOKE · 7 mapsnearly even -1%K27 · 19 maps
Dust2K27 ban
60%38%
CYBERSHOKE · 16 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +22%K27 · 9 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
33%67%
CYBERSHOKE · 5 mapsedge K27 +34%K27 · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%60%
CYBERSHOKE · 2 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +7%K27 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
2. BanK27 remove Dust2
3. PickCYBERSHOKE take Ancient
4. PickK27 take Mirage
5. BanK27 remove Nuke
6. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Cache
DeciderDefault (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
CYBERSHOKE 53%K27 47%
The model gave 53% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Nukeprediction missed9:13
CYBERSHOKE 56%K27 44%
The model gave 56% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by K27.
Mirageprediction correct14:16
CYBERSHOKE 48%K27 52%
The model gave 52% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 77%
Series resultK27 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3