WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientCYBERSHOKE pick
50%48%
CYBERSHOKE · 14 mapsnearly even +2%Nemiga · 19 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
55%58%
CYBERSHOKE · 16 mapsnearly even -3%Nemiga · 15 maps
MirageNemiga pick
67%75%
CYBERSHOKE · 8 mapsedge Nemiga +8%Nemiga · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
60%63%
CYBERSHOKE · 6 mapsnearly even -3%Nemiga · 12 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
38%71%
CYBERSHOKE · 4 mapsedge Nemiga +33%Nemiga · 13 maps
CacheCYBERSHOKE ban
63%67%
CYBERSHOKE · 4 mapsnearly even -4%Nemiga · 8 maps
DefaultNemiga ban
67%33%
CYBERSHOKE · 2 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +34%Nemiga · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
2. BanNemiga remove Default
3. PickCYBERSHOKE take Ancient
4. PickNemiga take Mirage
5. BanNemiga remove Dust2
6. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Cache
DeciderNuke (60% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
CYBERSHOKE 55%Nemiga 45%
The model gave 55% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Anubisprediction correct16:19
CYBERSHOKE 18%Nemiga 82%
The model gave 82% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 79%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2