WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
57%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 19 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +7%Virtus.pro · 14 maps
MirageVirtus.pro ban
59%56%
CYBERSHOKE · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Virtus.pro · 12 maps
AncientVirtus.pro ban
63%60%
CYBERSHOKE · 15 mapsnearly even +3%Virtus.pro · 6 maps
OverpassVirtus.pro pick
50%64%
CYBERSHOKE · 8 mapsedge Virtus.pro +14%Virtus.pro · 10 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE ban
50%73%
CYBERSHOKE · 6 mapsedge Virtus.pro +23%Virtus.pro · 7 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
38%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 4 mapsedge Virtus.pro +12%Virtus.pro · 4 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%60%
CYBERSHOKE · 1 mapnearly even +0%Virtus.pro · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
2. BanVirtus.pro remove Ancient
3. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
4. PickVirtus.pro take Overpass
5. BanVirtus.pro remove Mirage
6. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Nuke
DeciderCache (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed4:13
CYBERSHOKE 59%Virtus.pro 41%
The model gave 59% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
CYBERSHOKE 25%Virtus.pro 75%
The model gave 75% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 67%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2