CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientDAMAJUANA ban
50%40%
DAMAJUANA · 0 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +10%Players · 1 map
InfernoDAMAJUANA pick
40%50%
DAMAJUANA · 1 mapedge Players +10%Players · 0 maps
MiragePlayers pick
40%50%
DAMAJUANA · 1 mapedge Players +10%Players · 0 maps
NukePlayers ban
50%40%
DAMAJUANA · 0 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +10%Players · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDAMAJUANA remove Ancient
2. BanPlayers remove Nuke
3. PickDAMAJUANA take Inferno
4. PickPlayers take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
DAMAJUANA 63%Players 37%
The model gave 63% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
DAMAJUANA 57%Players 43%
The model gave 57% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by Players.
Infernoprediction correct17:19
DAMAJUANA 40%Players 60%
The model gave 60% on Players — the map was taken by Players.
Model check result
Model favoritePlayers · 52%
Series resultPlayers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3