IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#35 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
EYEBALLERS#42 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEYEBALLERS pick
33%70%
DENDELE · 2 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +37%EYEBALLERS · 6 maps
CacheEYEBALLERS ban
44%33%
DENDELE · 5 mapsedge DENDELE +11%EYEBALLERS · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
43%25%
DENDELE · 3 mapsedge DENDELE +18%EYEBALLERS · 4 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
71%57%
DENDELE · 3 mapsedge DENDELE +14%EYEBALLERS · 3 maps
InfernoDENDELE ban
50%63%
DENDELE · 2 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +13%EYEBALLERS · 4 maps
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
50%40%
DENDELE · 2 mapsedge DENDELE +10%EYEBALLERS · 1 map
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%33%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +17%EYEBALLERS · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
3. PickDENDELE take Anubis
4. PickEYEBALLERS take Ancient
5. BanEYEBALLERS remove Cache
6. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (43% / 25%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
DENDELE 16%EYEBALLERS 84%
The model gave 84% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
DENDELE 64%EYEBALLERS 36%
The model gave 64% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
DENDELE 69%EYEBALLERS 31%
The model gave 69% on DENDELE — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 56%
Series resultEYEBALLERS 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3