BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#41 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FaZe#14 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientDENDELE ban
50%47%
DENDELE · 0 mapsnearly even +3%FaZe · 13 maps
MirageFaZe pick
40%75%
DENDELE · 1 mapedge FaZe +35%FaZe · 8 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%42%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +8%FaZe · 8 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
60%44%
DENDELE · 1 mapedge DENDELE +16%FaZe · 5 maps
NukeFaZe ban
50%56%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge FaZe +6%FaZe · 5 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%71%
DENDELE · 1 mapedge FaZe +11%FaZe · 3 maps
OverpassFaZe ban
50%33%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +17%FaZe · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanFaZe remove Overpass
3. PickDENDELE take Anubis
4. PickFaZe take Mirage
5. BanFaZe remove Nuke
6. BanDENDELE remove Ancient
DeciderCache (60% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct2:13
DENDELE 47%FaZe 53%
The model gave 53% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
DENDELE 16%FaZe 84%
The model gave 84% on FaZe — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
DENDELE 37%FaZe 63%
The model gave 63% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 63%
Series resultFaZe 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3