Gamers Club Masters VII · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#49 in the world · win 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LCLow Cortisol BR#224 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLow Cortisol BR pick
50%43%
DENDELE · 12 mapsedge DENDELE +7%Low Cortisol BR · 3 maps
CacheDENDELE pick
56%60%
DENDELE · 12 mapsnearly even -4%Low Cortisol BR · 1 map
AncientDENDELE ban
43%50%
DENDELE · 10 mapsedge Low Cortisol BR +7%Low Cortisol BR · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%33%
DENDELE · 8 mapsedge DENDELE +17%Low Cortisol BR · 2 maps
InfernoLow Cortisol BR ban
62%50%
DENDELE · 9 mapsedge DENDELE +12%Low Cortisol BR · 0 maps
AnubisLow Cortisol BR ban
50%50%
DENDELE · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Low Cortisol BR · 0 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%38%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +12%Low Cortisol BR · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanLow Cortisol BR remove Anubis
3. PickDENDELE take Cache
4. PickLow Cortisol BR take Mirage
5. BanLow Cortisol BR remove Inferno
6. BanDENDELE remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
DENDELE 40%Low Cortisol BR 60%
The model gave 60% on Low Cortisol BR — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
DENDELE 64%Low Cortisol BR 36%
The model gave 64% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 80%
Series resultDENDELE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2