FRAG University 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
DENDELE#41 in the world · win 13:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 13:2
Marsborne#82 in the world · loss 2:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoDENDELE ban
56%68%
DENDELE · 5 mapsedge Marsborne +12%Marsborne · 18 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%60%
DENDELE · 6 mapsedge Marsborne +10%Marsborne · 16 maps
MirageDENDELE ban
50%71%
DENDELE · 10 mapsedge Marsborne +21%Marsborne · 10 maps
AnubisMarsborne ban
60%67%
DENDELE · 6 mapsedge Marsborne +7%Marsborne · 8 maps
NukeMarsborne ban
50%50%
DENDELE · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Marsborne · 8 maps
CacheMarsborne ban
60%50%
DENDELE · 11 mapsedge DENDELE +10%Marsborne · 0 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%60%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge Marsborne +10%Marsborne · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanMarsborne remove Cache
3. BanDENDELE remove Mirage
4. BanMarsborne remove Nuke
5. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
6. BanMarsborne remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:2
DENDELE 40%Marsborne 60%
The model gave 60% on Marsborne — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 65%
Series resultDENDELE 13:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1