Gamers Club Masters VII · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#49 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NNAOCOPULAS#145 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheDENDELE pick
56%50%
DENDELE · 12 mapsedge DENDELE +6%NAOCOPULAS · 2 maps
MirageNAOCOPULAS pick
50%67%
DENDELE · 12 mapsedge NAOCOPULAS +17%NAOCOPULAS · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%60%
DENDELE · 12 mapsedge NAOCOPULAS +10%NAOCOPULAS · 1 map
InfernoDENDELE ban
64%50%
DENDELE · 10 mapsedge DENDELE +14%NAOCOPULAS · 0 maps
NukeNAOCOPULAS ban
54%50%
DENDELE · 9 mapsnearly even +4%NAOCOPULAS · 0 maps
AnubisNAOCOPULAS ban
50%50%
DENDELE · 6 mapsnearly even +0%NAOCOPULAS · 0 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%50%
DENDELE · 0 mapsnearly even +0%NAOCOPULAS · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanNAOCOPULAS remove Nuke
3. PickDENDELE take Cache
4. PickNAOCOPULAS take Mirage
5. BanNAOCOPULAS remove Anubis
6. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
DENDELE 53%NAOCOPULAS 47%
The model gave 53% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
DENDELE 67%NAOCOPULAS 33%
The model gave 67% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 53%
Series resultDENDELE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2