Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#41 in the world · win 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SAW#61 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%46%
DENDELE · 0 mapsnearly even +4%SAW · 9 maps
InfernoSAW pick
50%75%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge SAW +25%SAW · 8 maps
AncientDENDELE ban
50%45%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +5%SAW · 7 maps
AnubisSAW ban
67%38%
DENDELE · 2 mapsedge DENDELE +29%SAW · 4 maps
MirageSAW ban
50%50%
DENDELE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%SAW · 4 maps
NukeDENDELE pick
50%50%
DENDELE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%SAW · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%60%
DENDELE · 2 mapsedge SAW +10%SAW · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanSAW remove Anubis
3. PickDENDELE take Nuke
4. PickSAW take Inferno
5. BanSAW remove Mirage
6. BanDENDELE remove Ancient
DeciderCache (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
DENDELE 23%SAW 77%
The model gave 77% on SAW — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
DENDELE 79%SAW 21%
The model gave 79% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 86%
Series resultDENDELE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2