PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#35 in the world · win 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Turma do Pagodeloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTurma do Pagode pick
29%64%
DENDELE · 3 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +35%Turma do Pagode · 7 maps
CacheTurma do Pagode ban
55%60%
DENDELE · 7 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +5%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
33%60%
DENDELE · 5 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +27%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
AnubisDENDELE pick
63%40%
DENDELE · 4 mapsedge DENDELE +23%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%56%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +6%Turma do Pagode · 5 maps
InfernoDENDELE ban
50%43%
DENDELE · 2 mapsedge DENDELE +7%Turma do Pagode · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%50%
DENDELE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Cache
3. PickDENDELE take Anubis
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Ancient
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
6. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed16:12
DENDELE 17%Turma do Pagode 83%
The model gave 83% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
DENDELE 27%Turma do Pagode 73%
The model gave 73% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 86%
Series resultDENDELE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2