Gamers Club Masters VII · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#49 in the world · win 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Turma do Pagode#92 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTurma do Pagode pick
47%67%
DENDELE · 11 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +20%Turma do Pagode · 26 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%48%
DENDELE · 0 mapsnearly even +2%Turma do Pagode · 19 maps
AnubisDENDELE ban
50%44%
DENDELE · 6 mapsedge DENDELE +6%Turma do Pagode · 12 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
50%56%
DENDELE · 12 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +6%Turma do Pagode · 5 maps
CacheDENDELE pick
56%63%
DENDELE · 12 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +7%Turma do Pagode · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
64%56%
DENDELE · 10 mapsedge DENDELE +8%Turma do Pagode · 5 maps
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
50%40%
DENDELE · 8 mapsedge DENDELE +10%Turma do Pagode · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
3. PickDENDELE take Cache
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Ancient
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
6. BanDENDELE remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (64% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
DENDELE 28%Turma do Pagode 72%
The model gave 72% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
DENDELE 63%Turma do Pagode 37%
The model gave 63% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 72%
Series resultDENDELE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2