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PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 West Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
DEPO#87 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OxinGameloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2DEPO ban
50%50%
DEPO · 10 mapsnearly even +0%OxinGame · 0 maps
MirageDEPO pick
57%50%
DEPO · 10 mapsedge DEPO +7%OxinGame · 0 maps
AncientOxinGame ban
54%50%
DEPO · 9 mapsnearly even +4%OxinGame · 0 maps
InfernoOxinGame pick
44%50%
DEPO · 5 mapsedge OxinGame +6%OxinGame · 0 maps
CacheOxinGame ban
63%50%
DEPO · 4 mapsedge DEPO +13%OxinGame · 0 maps
AnubisDEPO ban
33%50%
DEPO · 2 mapsedge OxinGame +17%OxinGame · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDEPO remove Anubis
2. BanOxinGame remove Cache
3. PickDEPO take Mirage
4. PickOxinGame take Inferno
5. BanOxinGame remove Ancient
6. BanDEPO remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
DEPO 42%OxinGame 58%
The model gave 58% on OxinGame — the map was taken by DEPO.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
DEPO 60%OxinGame 40%
The model gave 60% on DEPO — the map was taken by OxinGame.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
DEPO 50%OxinGame 50%
The model gave 50% on DEPO — the map was taken by DEPO.
Model check result
Model favoriteDEPO · 73%
Series resultDEPO 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3