CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
DONSTU#221 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
50%56%
DONSTU · 2 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +6%Bushido Wildcats · 5 maps
AnubisDONSTU pick
57%40%
DONSTU · 3 mapsedge DONSTU +17%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
38%50%
DONSTU · 4 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +12%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
50%57%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +7%Bushido Wildcats · 3 maps
OverpassDONSTU ban
50%67%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +17%Bushido Wildcats · 2 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
60%50%
DONSTU · 1 mapedge DONSTU +10%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%40%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge DONSTU +10%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickDONSTU take Anubis
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
6. BanDONSTU remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct2:13
DONSTU 42%Bushido Wildcats 58%
The model gave 58% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Anubisprediction missed10:13
DONSTU 69%Bushido Wildcats 31%
The model gave 69% on DONSTU — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteDONSTU · 54%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2