European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Misa#115 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
33%69%
DragonClaw · 2 mapsedge Misa +36%Misa · 9 maps
MirageDragonClaw pick
67%45%
DragonClaw · 2 mapsedge DragonClaw +22%Misa · 7 maps
AnubisMisa ban
67%38%
DragonClaw · 2 mapsedge DragonClaw +29%Misa · 4 maps
NukeDragonClaw ban
50%50%
DragonClaw · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Misa · 6 maps
InfernoDragonClaw ban
50%44%
DragonClaw · 0 mapsedge DragonClaw +6%Misa · 5 maps
OverpassMisa ban
50%33%
DragonClaw · 2 mapsedge DragonClaw +17%Misa · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDragonClaw remove Nuke
2. BanMisa remove Anubis
3. PickDragonClaw take Mirage
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Overpass
6. BanDragonClaw remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
DragonClaw 50%Misa 50%
The model gave 50% on DragonClaw — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragonClaw · 68%
Series resultMisa 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1