CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:1
NEW VISION#204 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientDragonClaw ban
50%40%
DragonClaw · 0 mapsedge DragonClaw +10%NEW VISION · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
33%63%
DragonClaw · 2 mapsedge NEW VISION +30%NEW VISION · 4 maps
AnubisNEW VISION ban
67%43%
DragonClaw · 2 mapsedge DragonClaw +24%NEW VISION · 3 maps
InfernoNEW VISION ban
50%43%
DragonClaw · 0 mapsedge DragonClaw +7%NEW VISION · 3 maps
MirageDragonClaw pick
67%40%
DragonClaw · 2 mapsedge DragonClaw +27%NEW VISION · 1 map
NukeDragonClaw ban
50%57%
DragonClaw · 0 mapsedge NEW VISION +7%NEW VISION · 3 maps
DefaultNEW VISION pick
33%50%
DragonClaw · 2 mapsedge NEW VISION +17%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDragonClaw remove Ancient
2. BanNEW VISION remove Inferno
3. PickDragonClaw take Mirage
4. PickNEW VISION take Default
5. BanNEW VISION remove Anubis
6. BanDragonClaw remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (33% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
DragonClaw 33%NEW VISION 67%
The model gave 67% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by NEW VISION.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragonClaw · 72%
Series resultNEW VISION 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1