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ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · BO3
result vs prediction
Drama#143 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEXORAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
Drama 47%NEXORA 53%
The model gave 53% on NEXORA — the map was taken by Drama.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Drama 53%NEXORA 47%
The model gave 53% on Drama — the map was taken by Drama.
Model check result
Model favoriteDrama · 50%
Series resultDrama 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2