ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
EAC EXTRAloss 7:13series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 7:13
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · win 13:7The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2EAC EXTRA ban
50%56%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +6%Johnny Speeds · 5 maps
CacheJohnny Speeds ban
50%57%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +7%Johnny Speeds · 3 maps
MirageEAC EXTRA ban
50%29%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge EAC EXTRA +21%Johnny Speeds · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%43%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge EAC EXTRA +7%Johnny Speeds · 3 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
40%40%
EAC EXTRA · 1 mapnearly even +0%Johnny Speeds · 1 map
InfernoEAC EXTRA ban
50%67%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +17%Johnny Speeds · 2 maps
AncientJohnny Speeds ban
50%60%
EAC EXTRA · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +10%Johnny Speeds · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC EXTRA remove Inferno
2. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
3. BanEAC EXTRA remove Dust2
4. BanJohnny Speeds remove Cache
5. BanEAC EXTRA remove Mirage
6. BanJohnny Speeds remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
EAC EXTRA 71%Johnny Speeds 29%
The model gave 71% on EAC EXTRA — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 78%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 7:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1