CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeEAC ban
38%50%
EAC · 12 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
43%50%
EAC · 10 mapsedge Black Phoenix +7%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
46%40%
EAC · 9 mapsedge EAC +6%Black Phoenix · 1 map
OverpassEAC pick
50%50%
EAC · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
InfernoBlack Phoenix pick
29%60%
EAC · 3 mapsedge Black Phoenix +31%Black Phoenix · 1 map
CacheBlack Phoenix ban
67%50%
EAC · 2 mapsedge EAC +17%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
Dust2EAC ban
40%60%
EAC · 1 mapedge Black Phoenix +20%Black Phoenix · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Dust2
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Cache
3. PickEAC take Overpass
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Inferno
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
6. BanEAC remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (46% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
EAC 50%Black Phoenix 50%
The model gave 50% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
EAC 47%Black Phoenix 53%
The model gave 53% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 64%
Series resultEAC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2