FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLazer Cats pick
59%67%
EAC · 18 mapsedge Lazer Cats +8%Lazer Cats · 8 maps
MirageEAC pick
52%50%
EAC · 23 mapsnearly even +2%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
AnubisEAC ban
50%71%
EAC · 14 mapsedge Lazer Cats +21%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
InfernoEAC ban
36%63%
EAC · 10 mapsedge Lazer Cats +27%Lazer Cats · 4 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
53%43%
EAC · 11 mapsedge EAC +10%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
CacheLazer Cats ban
63%50%
EAC · 12 mapsedge EAC +13%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%67%
EAC · 3 mapsedge Lazer Cats +10%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Inferno
2. BanLazer Cats remove Cache
3. PickEAC take Mirage
4. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
5. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
6. BanEAC remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (57% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:16
EAC 26%Lazer Cats 74%
The model gave 74% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
EAC 55%Lazer Cats 45%
The model gave 55% on EAC — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 71%
Series resultLazer Cats 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2