XP Game Fest 2026 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Last Resort#159 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
33%40%
EAC · 2 mapsedge The Last Resort +7%The Last Resort · 6 maps
MirageThe Last Resort ban
50%30%
EAC · 0 mapsedge EAC +20%The Last Resort · 6 maps
OverpassEAC ban
40%56%
EAC · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +16%The Last Resort · 5 maps
AncientThe Last Resort pick
40%50%
EAC · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +10%The Last Resort · 4 maps
AnubisEAC ban
50%71%
EAC · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +21%The Last Resort · 3 maps
InfernoThe Last Resort ban
50%43%
EAC · 0 mapsedge EAC +7%The Last Resort · 3 maps
DefaultEAC pick
50%60%
EAC · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +10%The Last Resort · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Anubis
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
3. PickEAC take Default
4. PickThe Last Resort take Ancient
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Inferno
6. BanEAC remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (33% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
EAC 40%The Last Resort 60%
The model gave 60% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by EAC.
Overpassprediction missed13:5
EAC 38%The Last Resort 62%
The model gave 62% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 65%
Series resultEAC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2