Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Echo ban
50%72%
Echo · 0 mapsedge GenOne +22%GenOne · 49 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%50%
Echo · 6 mapsedge Echo +10%GenOne · 30 maps
NukeEcho pick
69%60%
Echo · 9 mapsedge Echo +9%GenOne · 26 maps
InfernoEcho ban
29%52%
Echo · 3 mapsedge GenOne +23%GenOne · 17 maps
AnubisGenOne pick
56%67%
Echo · 5 mapsedge GenOne +11%GenOne · 14 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
40%40%
Echo · 6 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 11 maps
CacheGenOne ban
67%44%
Echo · 2 mapsedge Echo +23%GenOne · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEcho remove Dust2
2. BanGenOne remove Cache
3. PickEcho take Nuke
4. PickGenOne take Anubis
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanEcho remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct11:13
Echo 36%GenOne 64%
The model gave 64% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Echo 63%GenOne 37%
The model gave 63% on Echo — the map was taken by Echo.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
Echo 60%GenOne 40%
The model gave 60% on Echo — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteEcho · 63%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3