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ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Elusive
series probability
54%46%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
NuTorious#170 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientElusive ban
33%38%
Elusive · 2 mapsedge NuTorious +5%NuTorious · 4 maps
InfernoNuTorious pick
40%57%
Elusive · 1 mapedge NuTorious +17%NuTorious · 3 maps
MirageNuTorious ban
60%57%
Elusive · 1 mapnearly even +3%NuTorious · 3 maps
NukeElusive pick
60%40%
Elusive · 1 mapedge Elusive +20%NuTorious · 1 map
AnubisElusive ban
50%40%
Elusive · 0 mapsedge Elusive +10%NuTorious · 1 map
CacheNuTorious ban
50%40%
Elusive · 0 mapsedge Elusive +10%NuTorious · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanElusive remove Anubis
2. BanNuTorious remove Cache
3. PickElusive take Nuke
4. PickNuTorious take Inferno
5. BanNuTorious remove Mirage
6. BanElusive remove Ancient