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ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
EMPIRE
series probability
50%50%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
New Legends
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2EMPIRE pick
50%33%
EMPIRE · 2 mapsedge EMPIRE +17%New Legends · 2 maps
AncientNew Legends ban
50%50%
EMPIRE · 0 mapsnearly even +0%New Legends · 2 maps
InfernoNew Legends pick
33%50%
EMPIRE · 2 mapsedge New Legends +17%New Legends · 0 maps
MirageEMPIRE ban
50%60%
EMPIRE · 0 mapsedge New Legends +10%New Legends · 1 map
NukeNew Legends ban
60%50%
EMPIRE · 1 mapedge EMPIRE +10%New Legends · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEMPIRE remove Mirage
2. BanNew Legends remove Nuke
3. PickEMPIRE take Dust2
4. PickNew Legends take Inferno
5. BanNew Legends remove Ancient