CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ENCE#112 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
brazylijski luz#146 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientbrazylijski luz pick
57%46%
ENCE · 3 mapsedge ENCE +11%brazylijski luz · 9 maps
MirageENCE pick
60%33%
ENCE · 6 mapsedge ENCE +27%brazylijski luz · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
71%63%
ENCE · 3 mapsedge ENCE +8%brazylijski luz · 4 maps
Dust2brazylijski luz ban
50%63%
ENCE · 2 mapsedge brazylijski luz +13%brazylijski luz · 4 maps
Anubisbrazylijski luz ban
60%57%
ENCE · 1 mapnearly even +3%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
DefaultENCE ban
50%57%
ENCE · 0 mapsedge brazylijski luz +7%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
InfernoENCE ban
33%40%
ENCE · 2 mapsedge brazylijski luz +7%brazylijski luz · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanENCE remove Inferno
2. Banbrazylijski luz remove Anubis
3. PickENCE take Mirage
4. Pickbrazylijski luz take Ancient
5. Banbrazylijski luz remove Dust2
6. BanENCE remove Default
DeciderNuke (71% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
ENCE 63%brazylijski luz 37%
The model gave 63% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
ENCE 58%brazylijski luz 42%
The model gave 58% on ENCE — the map was taken by brazylijski luz.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
ENCE 75%brazylijski luz 25%
The model gave 75% on ENCE — the map was taken by brazylijski luz.
Model check result
Model favoritebrazylijski luz · 52%
Series resultbrazylijski luz 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3