CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
ENCE#112 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ENCE ban
45%57%
ENCE · 7 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +12%ex-RUSTEC · 38 maps
NukeENCE pick
50%52%
ENCE · 12 mapsnearly even -2%ex-RUSTEC · 29 maps
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
55%45%
ENCE · 18 mapsedge ENCE +10%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC pick
54%67%
ENCE · 9 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +13%ex-RUSTEC · 23 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
60%44%
ENCE · 11 mapsedge ENCE +16%ex-RUSTEC · 14 maps
CacheENCE ban
50%47%
ENCE · 8 mapsnearly even +3%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%56%
ENCE · 3 mapsnearly even +1%ex-RUSTEC · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanENCE remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
3. PickENCE take Nuke
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Anubis
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
6. BanENCE remove Cache
DeciderDefault (57% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct1:13
ENCE 36%ex-RUSTEC 64%
The model gave 64% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
ENCE 62%ex-RUSTEC 38%
The model gave 62% on ENCE — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 63%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2