NODWIN Clutch Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Enjoy#199 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
56%63%
Enjoy · 12 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 maps
Miragepossible decider
53%54%
Enjoy · 13 mapsnearly even -1%ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 maps
NukeEnjoy ban
38%53%
Enjoy · 4 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +15%ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 maps
CacheEnjoy pick
65%60%
Enjoy · 13 mapsedge Enjoy +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 1 map
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%50%
Enjoy · 10 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
InfernoEnjoy ban
33%33%
Enjoy · 5 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
63%38%
Enjoy · 4 mapsedge Enjoy +25%ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEnjoy remove Nuke
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickEnjoy take Cache
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
6. BanEnjoy remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (53% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
Enjoy 47%ex-Zero Tenacity 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Cacheprediction missed10:13
Enjoy 58%ex-Zero Tenacity 42%
The model gave 58% on Enjoy — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy · 67%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2