European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Enjoy#199 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Sashi Academy#169 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEnjoy pick
56%50%
Enjoy · 5 mapsedge Enjoy +6%Sashi Academy · 4 maps
InfernoEnjoy ban
50%56%
Enjoy · 0 mapsedge Sashi Academy +6%Sashi Academy · 5 maps
MirageSashi Academy pick
67%57%
Enjoy · 2 mapsedge Enjoy +10%Sashi Academy · 3 maps
AnubisEnjoy ban
57%50%
Enjoy · 3 mapsedge Enjoy +7%Sashi Academy · 0 maps
NukeSashi Academy ban
50%29%
Enjoy · 0 mapsedge Enjoy +21%Sashi Academy · 3 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%40%
Enjoy · 2 mapsedge Enjoy +10%Sashi Academy · 1 map
Dust2Sashi Academy ban
67%50%
Enjoy · 2 mapsedge Enjoy +17%Sashi Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEnjoy remove Inferno
2. BanSashi Academy remove Nuke
3. PickEnjoy take Ancient
4. PickSashi Academy take Mirage
5. BanSashi Academy remove Dust2
6. BanEnjoy remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Enjoy 69%Sashi Academy 31%
The model gave 69% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Anubisprediction correct16:12
Enjoy 60%Sashi Academy 40%
The model gave 60% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy · 59%
Series resultEnjoy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2