?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Inner Circle Academy#80 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
40%57%
Entropy · 16 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +17%Inner Circle Academy · 3 maps
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
36%60%
Entropy · 7 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +24%Inner Circle Academy · 11 maps
AncientEntropy ban
46%58%
Entropy · 9 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +12%Inner Circle Academy · 8 maps
AnubisInner Circle Academy ban
50%71%
Entropy · 10 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +21%Inner Circle Academy · 3 maps
NukeEntropy ban
40%45%
Entropy · 1 mapedge Inner Circle Academy +5%Inner Circle Academy · 7 maps
CacheEntropy pick
70%50%
Entropy · 6 mapsedge Entropy +20%Inner Circle Academy · 0 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
44%40%
Entropy · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Inner Circle Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Nuke
2. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
3. PickEntropy take Cache
4. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
5. BanInner Circle Academy remove Anubis
6. BanEntropy remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (40% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
Entropy 25%Inner Circle Academy 75%
The model gave 75% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
Entropy 36%Inner Circle Academy 64%
The model gave 64% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 54%
Series resultInner Circle Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2