CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEntropy pick
50%50%
Entropy · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 0 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
45%50%
Entropy · 7 mapsedge Mai Tai +5%Mai Tai · 0 maps
MirageEntropy ban
36%50%
Entropy · 7 mapsedge Mai Tai +14%Mai Tai · 0 maps
OverpassEntropy ban
38%50%
Entropy · 4 mapsedge Mai Tai +12%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
57%50%
Entropy · 3 mapsedge Entropy +7%Mai Tai · 0 maps
InfernoMai Tai pick
29%50%
Entropy · 3 mapsedge Mai Tai +21%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Entropy · 1 mapnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Overpass
2. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
3. PickEntropy take Ancient
4. PickMai Tai take Inferno
5. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
6. BanEntropy remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
Entropy 53%Mai Tai 47%
The model gave 53% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
Entropy 34%Mai Tai 66%
The model gave 66% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 57%
Series resultEntropy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2