CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#132 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Phantom Academy#182 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEntropy pick
61%75%
Entropy · 29 mapsedge Phantom Academy +14%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
AncientPhantom Academy ban
55%44%
Entropy · 16 mapsedge Entropy +11%Phantom Academy · 5 maps
CacheEntropy ban
47%43%
Entropy · 15 mapsnearly even +4%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
25%50%
Entropy · 16 mapsedge Phantom Academy +25%Phantom Academy · 2 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy pick
54%60%
Entropy · 9 mapsedge Phantom Academy +6%Phantom Academy · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
45%33%
Entropy · 7 mapsedge Entropy +12%Phantom Academy · 2 maps
InfernoPhantom Academy ban
55%50%
Entropy · 7 mapsedge Entropy +5%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Dust2
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Inferno
3. PickEntropy take Mirage
4. PickPhantom Academy take Anubis
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Ancient
6. BanEntropy remove Cache
DeciderDefault (45% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Entropy 63%Phantom Academy 37%
The model gave 63% on Entropy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 57%
Series resultPhantom Academy 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1