Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Envy#22 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FaZe#17 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
38%36%
Envy · 4 mapsnearly even +2%FaZe · 7 maps
CacheEnvy ban
33%58%
Envy · 2 mapsedge FaZe +25%FaZe · 8 maps
Dust2Envy pick
60%45%
Envy · 1 mapedge Envy +15%FaZe · 7 maps
MirageEnvy ban
50%58%
Envy · 0 mapsedge FaZe +8%FaZe · 8 maps
NukeFaZe pick
50%75%
Envy · 0 mapsedge FaZe +25%FaZe · 8 maps
AnubisFaZe ban
40%38%
Envy · 1 mapnearly even +2%FaZe · 4 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
60%50%
Envy · 1 mapedge Envy +10%FaZe · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEnvy remove Mirage
2. BanFaZe remove Inferno
3. PickEnvy take Dust2
4. PickFaZe take Nuke
5. BanFaZe remove Anubis
6. BanEnvy remove Cache
DeciderAncient (38% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
Envy 48%FaZe 52%
The model gave 52% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Envy 67%FaZe 33%
The model gave 67% on Envy — the map was taken by Envy.
Anubisprediction missed14:16
Envy 53%FaZe 47%
The model gave 53% on Envy — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 58%
Series resultFaZe 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3