RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Envy#26 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GamerLegion#27 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGamerLegion pick
33%53%
Envy · 5 mapsedge GamerLegion +20%GamerLegion · 11 maps
CacheEnvy ban
33%77%
Envy · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +44%GamerLegion · 9 maps
MirageEnvy ban
50%31%
Envy · 0 mapsedge Envy +19%GamerLegion · 9 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%54%
Envy · 0 mapsnearly even -4%GamerLegion · 9 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
67%40%
Envy · 2 mapsedge Envy +27%GamerLegion · 6 maps
InfernoEnvy pick
60%43%
Envy · 1 mapedge Envy +17%GamerLegion · 3 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
33%50%
Envy · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEnvy remove Cache
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. PickEnvy take Inferno
4. PickGamerLegion take Ancient
5. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
6. BanEnvy remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (50% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Envy 77%GamerLegion 23%
The model gave 77% on Envy — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
Envy 28%GamerLegion 72%
The model gave 72% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by Envy.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
Envy 46%GamerLegion 54%
The model gave 54% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnvy · 51%
Series resultGamerLegion 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3