NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Eternal Fire ban
46%64%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsedge INOX Division +18%INOX Division · 18 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
50%71%
Eternal Fire · 4 mapsedge INOX Division +21%INOX Division · 20 maps
AncientEternal Fire pick
67%61%
Eternal Fire · 8 mapsedge Eternal Fire +6%INOX Division · 14 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
50%63%
Eternal Fire · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +13%INOX Division · 20 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
50%38%
Eternal Fire · 6 mapsedge Eternal Fire +12%INOX Division · 9 maps
Overpasspossible decider
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%INOX Division · 10 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
64%50%
Eternal Fire · 7 mapsedge Eternal Fire +14%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
4. PickINOX Division take Nuke
5. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
6. BanEternal Fire remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
Eternal Fire 35%INOX Division 65%
The model gave 65% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
Eternal Fire 53%INOX Division 47%
The model gave 53% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 52%
Series resultINOX Division 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2