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ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:1
JiJieHao#47 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJiJieHao pick
53%71%
Eternal Fire · 15 mapsedge JiJieHao +18%JiJieHao · 10 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%55%
Eternal Fire · 17 mapsedge Eternal Fire +12%JiJieHao · 7 maps
CacheJiJieHao ban
62%45%
Eternal Fire · 17 mapsedge Eternal Fire +17%JiJieHao · 7 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire pick
74%36%
Eternal Fire · 15 mapsedge Eternal Fire +38%JiJieHao · 7 maps
AnubisEternal Fire ban
54%62%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsedge JiJieHao +8%JiJieHao · 9 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
57%56%
Eternal Fire · 10 mapsnearly even +1%JiJieHao · 5 maps
DefaultJiJieHao ban
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%JiJieHao · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
2. BanJiJieHao remove Cache
3. PickEternal Fire take Dust2
4. PickJiJieHao take Mirage
5. BanJiJieHao remove Default
6. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (67% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct19:15
Eternal Fire 85%JiJieHao 15%
The model gave 85% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
Eternal Fire 28%JiJieHao 72%
The model gave 72% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Eternal Fire 42%JiJieHao 58%
The model gave 58% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 67%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3