HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#30 in the world · win 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WIMOKloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientWIMOK ban
60%50%
Eternal Fire · 11 mapsedge Eternal Fire +10%WIMOK · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
53%50%
Eternal Fire · 11 mapsnearly even +3%WIMOK · 0 maps
CacheWIMOK pick
46%50%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsnearly even -4%WIMOK · 0 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire pick
54%50%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsnearly even +4%WIMOK · 0 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
50%50%
Eternal Fire · 8 mapsnearly even +0%WIMOK · 0 maps
DefaultWIMOK ban
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%WIMOK · 0 maps
AnubisEternal Fire ban
50%50%
Eternal Fire · 2 mapsnearly even +0%WIMOK · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
2. BanWIMOK remove Ancient
3. PickEternal Fire take Dust2
4. PickWIMOK take Cache
5. BanWIMOK remove Default
6. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
Eternal Fire 63%WIMOK 37%
The model gave 63% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Infernoprediction missed13:3
Eternal Fire 47%WIMOK 53%
The model gave 53% on WIMOK — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 81%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2