CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
eternal premium#208 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancienteternal premium pick
70%75%
eternal premium · 6 mapsedge Spirit Academy +5%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
50%45%
eternal premium · 10 mapsedge eternal premium +5%Spirit Academy · 7 maps
Dust2eternal premium ban
29%53%
eternal premium · 3 mapsedge Spirit Academy +24%Spirit Academy · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%40%
eternal premium · 2 mapsedge eternal premium +10%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
Cacheeternal premium ban
50%50%
eternal premium · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit Academy · 10 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
57%71%
eternal premium · 3 mapsedge Spirit Academy +14%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy pick
43%50%
eternal premium · 3 mapsedge Spirit Academy +7%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Baneternal premium remove Dust2
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
3. Picketernal premium take Ancient
4. PickSpirit Academy take Default
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
6. Baneternal premium remove Cache
DeciderNuke (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct2:13
eternal premium 38%Spirit Academy 62%
The model gave 62% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
eternal premium 40%Spirit Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 66%
Series resultSpirit Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2