CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Defaultex-GUARA ban
29%50%
ex-GUARA · 3 mapsedge Blitzkrieg +21%Blitzkrieg · 4 maps
Dust2ex-GUARA pick
50%29%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge ex-GUARA +21%Blitzkrieg · 3 maps
MirageBlitzkrieg ban
50%29%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge ex-GUARA +21%Blitzkrieg · 3 maps
AncientBlitzkrieg pick
50%33%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge ex-GUARA +17%Blitzkrieg · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-GUARA remove Default
2. BanBlitzkrieg remove Mirage
3. Pickex-GUARA take Dust2
4. PickBlitzkrieg take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
ex-GUARA 29%Blitzkrieg 71%
The model gave 71% on Blitzkrieg — the map was taken by Blitzkrieg.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-GUARA · 52%
Series resultBlitzkrieg 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1