CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientex-KRÜ ban
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 0 maps
Dust2ALKA ban
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Ancient
2. BanALKA remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct9:13
ex-KRÜ 47%ALKA 53%
The model gave 53% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
ex-KRÜ 53%ALKA 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 58%
Series resultALKA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2