CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
paiN Academy#207 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
56%50%
ex-KRÜ · 5 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +6%paiN Academy · 4 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
50%44%
ex-KRÜ · 2 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +6%paiN Academy · 5 maps
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
57%40%
ex-KRÜ · 3 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +17%paiN Academy · 1 map
Infernoex-KRÜ ban
33%60%
ex-KRÜ · 2 mapsedge paiN Academy +27%paiN Academy · 1 map
Anubisex-KRÜ ban
50%50%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
OverpasspaiN Academy ban
40%40%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 1 map
AncientpaiN Academy ban
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +10%paiN Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Anubis
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Overpass
6. Banex-KRÜ remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
ex-KRÜ 53%paiN Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
ex-KRÜ 69%paiN Academy 31%
The model gave 69% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
ex-KRÜ 25%paiN Academy 75%
The model gave 75% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 55%
Series resultpaiN Academy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3